• PrettyFlyForAFatGuy@lemmy.ml
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    1 year ago

    Don’t underestimate him.

    He beat an elderly, uninspiring, career politician against all odds once and he’ll do it again. People have short memories, and won’t remember the worst of his tenure

    • abraxas@sh.itjust.works
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      1 year ago

      Already seen it. I don’t love Biden, but he’s done “okayish” at most things. Every time the economy comes up, people start missing Trump despite the fact he was the one that destroyed it

      • TechyDad@lemmy.world
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        1 year ago

        Even worse are the people saying they won’t vote for Biden in 2024 because they don’t agree with him 100% on certain issues when Trump would be even worse on those issues.

        I understand not liking a politician completely. Hillary wasn’t my first pick in 2016 and Biden wasn’t my first pick in 2020. However, when it became clear that they were the nominee, I backed them over Trump. I’m sure some of these people will back Biden if/when he’s the nominee, but a lot of them are declaring that they will sit out the elections if Biden is the nominee because they want things done differently. Meanwhile, if Trump is elected - say, because some left wing voters stay home - these issues will be treated a whole lot worse!

        • stolid_agnostic@lemmy.ml
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          1 year ago

          You can count in those who are angry about Palestine here. They are now anti-Biden but can’t seem to understand that Biden at his worst is still better than Trump at his best.

          • sailingbythelee@lemmy.world
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            1 year ago

            This drives me crazy. Having an essentially neutral stance on anything in the Middle East should be the preferred stance of any US President at this point. It is a no-win quagmire.

            There are a few geopolitical aphorisms that Western empires have discovered the hard way and that the US should remember (but probably won’t because, you know, US exceptionalism):

            Never invade Russia. Never invade Afghanistan. Never fight a land war in Asia. Add to that, never invest any political capital in the Middle East. There is just no winning these conflicts and it is delusional to try. The only way to win conflicts like that is the way Stalin and Mao did it, and that is not our way. These places are the very definition of quagmire for western powers.

            Now, imagine if Trump managed to win the next election because young Democratic voters are mad about Biden’s stance on Israel/Palestine and decide to stay home on election day. Talk about cutting off your nose to spite your face.

        • krashmo@lemmy.world
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          1 year ago

          Why is it always progressives who have to hold their nose and “vote blue no matter who”? Centrist Democrats have been driving the car for decades. If you don’t let me pick even one stop in 30 years then eventually I’m going to jump out of the car and you’ll have to extort gas money from someone else when I do. What you keep asking us to do isn’t compromise, it’s to stay in an abusive relationship where you get to make all the rules and we deal with it in silence. That only works for so long.

          • rigatti@lemmy.world
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            1 year ago

            It’s because there aren’t enough progressives. I vote as progressive as I can in primaries. For some races it has paid off, and for others, well maybe next time.

          • frezik@midwest.social
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            1 year ago

            Try building an actual third party. Not by putting someone up for President every 4 years. That’s a waste of time, money, and effort. Get people into school boards, city councils, and county comptroller. Then aim for state congress and other positions at the state level. Now push for changing the voting system to something that doesn’t have a glaring problem like First Past the Post does.

            A huge chunk of the changes progressives want are better done at the state and local level, anyway. Until then, we’ll keep getting what we get at the federal level.

              • abraxas@sh.itjust.works
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                1 year ago

                And why the alternative voting systems that do pass are things like RCV that have the lowest likelihood of electing a third party and can still be gamed to spoil the Dems

                IRV-RCV is the easiest to understand, but the one we know almost certainly will never make a third party relevant in the US. But it’s the only alternative anyone is willing to talk about. Then the GOP makes it illegal anyway.

                Something actually effective will simply never pass.

          • abraxas@sh.itjust.works
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            1 year ago

            Why is it always progressives who have to hold their nose and “vote blue no matter who”? Centrist Democrats have been driving the car for decades

            Because we’re a minority and the options are the party that now gives us significant representation for our demographic (103 members of the House, and 1 (sadface) senator) or the party that thinks anyone left of “moderate-right” should be thrown out of a helecopter over the ocean.

            The US is designed to change slowly, and even fixing that is designed to take time.

            What you keep asking us to do isn’t compromise, it’s to stay in an abusive relationship where you get to make all the rules and we deal with it in silence

            No. What we’re asking you to do is pick the loveless relationship where your party buys you supermarket flowers once a year over Jeffery Dahmer. The Dems don’t abuse us. We just don’t have the votes and constitutents to do something worthwhile. You do realize that if a moderate compromises too progressive, they get replaced with a Republican, right?

            So why don’t we fight in-party for more representation and educate voters that we’re not the boogey man, instead of threatening to murder the whole country to get our way like the bloody Repubs do?

          • brothershamus@kbin.social
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            1 year ago

            Because of the electoral college. That forces a two-party system. Which is why we’re in this terrible situation.

            It also does nothing to stop a progressive from running as a democrat.

            Stunt candidates like Jill Stein are grifters who do not give a single solitary fuck about the state of the world, and anyone considering a candidate like that is also extremely unlikely to run themselves.

            I have friends who voted for Nader. They thought they were making a statement too. Then we got into Iraq II and they were very upset by it. We also got John “fuck voting righs” Roberts and Samuel “bitches be hoes” Alito out of the deal. Don’t be stupid.

            Watching a bunch of tiktok gronks give their brilliant hot takes on how they don’t have to vote for Biden is like watching a drunken fratboy who’s holding everyone’s phones dancing on a cliff rim because someone told them not to. Stupid fuck. It doesn’t work like that.

            • lolcatnip@reddthat.com
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              1 year ago

              It’s plurality (a.k.a. FPTP) voting that forces a 2-party system. The main problem with the electoral college is that it gives a structural advantage to voters in low-population states, and those voters are overwhelmingly aligned with Republicans.

          • spaceghoti@lemmy.one
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            1 year ago

            Funny how Biden turned out to be a lot less centrist than we were expecting. The pendulum is swinging left, and if we don’t keep pushing in the right direction the progress will stop. Just because we’re not getting everything we want right now doesn’t mean we’re not in the process of getting there. So stop bitching about how you don’t have the perfect candidate right now. Vote in the primaries for the most progressive candidates you can find, and then in the general election vote for the best candidate, even if it’s not your preferred choice.

            Adulthood is about dealing with the world as it is, not the world we insist we should have. We have to be the adults in the room when no one else is willing.

            • grue@lemmy.world
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              1 year ago

              We have to be the adults in the room when no one else is willing.

              And in case anybody is wondering about the Republicans not being held to the same standard, that’s a consequence of the fact that the changes progressives want require passing new legislation, whereas the changes Republicans want can be achieved through obstruction and sabotage.

              • spaceghoti@lemmy.one
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                1 year ago

                Just to clarify, I do want to hold Republicans to the same standards. I want their accountability to be conducted through electoral defeats and removing them from power. As difficult as it is to reform the Democrats into the progressive party we need them to be, such a feat is impossible with modern Republicans.

                • grue@lemmy.world
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                  1 year ago

                  Just to clarify, I do want to hold Republicans to the same standards.

                  Oh, sure, I didn’t mean to imply otherwise. My comment was more about the practical/structural circumstances that allow them to get away with acting the way they do rather than being about how people feel about it, though.

                  • spaceghoti@lemmy.one
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                    1 year ago

                    I wasn’t assuming you were criticizing anything but Republican behavior. I merely wanted to add on to your comment.

              • frezik@midwest.social
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                1 year ago

                There’s some interesting pieces that I think have gone unnoticed where rank and file Republicans do want something, but nothing happens. They don’t seem to care.

                For example, repealing the Hughes Amendment of 1986, which bans the registration of new machine guns for personal use. Lots of gun tote’n NRA members want that gone. Republicans could have easily done it after the 2016 election, where they had both houses of Congress and the White House.

                IIRC, there were some bills submitted to committee, where they promptly died. That’s it. The only meaningful changes to gun rights under Trump was declaring bump stocks illegal (which lets a semi-auto rifle be fired like a full-auto rifle).

                Yet, you don’t see any of those NRA members talking about this. They are still lockstep behind the Republican party. Take any equivalent issue on the left, and people want the Democratic party to burn down for not supporting it.

                I think there’s deep lessons to be learned there about how the rank and file treat their respective standard bearer political party.

                • abraxas@sh.itjust.works
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                  1 year ago

                  That’s a solid point. The GOP couldn’t get together to wipe out the ACA because many Republicans actually realized it would fuck them to do so. It was an absolute comical disaster.

                  They half-gutted it, but we still have enough of it to be far better off than pre-ACA days.

                • grue@lemmy.world
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                  1 year ago

                  Yet, you don’t see any of those NRA members talking about this. They are still lockstep behind the Republican party. Take any equivalent issue on the left, and people want the Democratic party to burn down for not supporting it.

                  I think there’s deep lessons to be learned there about how the rank and file treat their respective standard bearer political party.

                  This Alt-Right Playbook video does an excellent job of explaining that, IMO. (I linked to the specific timestamp where the explanation starts, but I recommend watching from the beginning for context.)

            • krashmo@lemmy.world
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              1 year ago

              Adulthood is about dealing with the world as it is, not the world we insist we should have.

              Which is why centrist Democrats saw the polling data saying Bernie Sanders performed better against Trump than Clinton or Biden and decided to throw their support behind him in both elections rather than forcing us to stick with the candidate they wanted, right? Wait a minute…

              • abraxas@sh.itjust.works
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                1 year ago

                The same Berniecrats who could have had a progressive in the General in 2020 if they’d been willing to go for Warren (who was outpolling Bernie in the Primaries AND comparable in the General until the shitshow that cost them both the primary)

                The thing with Primaries is that they’re like RCV. The most votes wins the Primary. If your second choice isn’t “whoever won the Dem primary”, then you’re the problem, whether your first was Biden, Bernie, or Elmo.

              • spaceghoti@lemmy.one
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                1 year ago

                You’re talking about polling conducted eleven months ahead of the general election. Whatever you think you’re doing, you’re not participating in an adult conversation.

                Goodbye.

              • lolcatnip@reddthat.com
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                1 year ago

                Some people you don’t like made a decision you disagreed with for reasons we aren’t privy to, and that’s somehow a rebuttal of needing to deal with the world as it is? Your comment is a demonstration of the problem.

              • SCB@lemmy.world
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                1 year ago

                Which is why centrist Democrats saw the polling data saying Bernie Sanders performed better against Trump than Clinton or Biden and decided to throw their support behind him in both elections rather than forcing us to stick with the candidate they wanted, right?

                People don’t like Bernie Sanders, so they didn’t vote for him.

                • Jaysyn@kbin.social
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                  1 year ago

                  As a Sanders voter & 4 figure donator, I’m glad Biden was in the White House when Russia invaded Ukraine.

            • ira@lemmy.ml
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              1 year ago

              Idk unlimited sales of arms to fascists like Itamar Ben-Gvir seems pretty far right to me

          • Jaysyn@kbin.social
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            1 year ago

            Tell me you don’t understand math & game theory without telling me you don’t understand math & game theory.

          • SCB@lemmy.world
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            1 year ago

            Because there are millions more normal people than extremists.

    • stolid_agnostic@lemmy.ml
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      1 year ago

      Let me fix that for you:

      Due to the corruption of the Electoral College and even though he lost the popular vote, Trump beat an elderly, uninspiring, career politician.

      ETA: Enough with the “well golly gee dontcha know that is how it works in the US” as if that justifies it. Let’s accept it for what it was: a way for slave owners to have greater influence than their state’s population otherwise allowed.

      • Jaysyn@kbin.social
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        1 year ago

        You do realize that how you win an election in the USA, right?

        You do also realize that the #fascist #GOP is never going to try to change a system where they have an inherent advantage, right?

      • Wrench@lemmy.world
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        1 year ago

        Weird distinction, as none of those rules that resulted in Trump winning have changed.

          • Wrench@lemmy.world
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            1 year ago

            And yet, have zero bearing on this upcoming election, because it’s certainly not going to change in the next year. I.E., his “correction” in the context of the original comment is useless.

    • ashok36@lemmy.world
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      1 year ago

      Biden isn’t Clinton. If you hadn’t got the news yet, Biden already beat Trump once. No one that voted for Biden in 2020 is voting for Trump in 2024. Biden has to worry about his voters staying home and Trump is the candidate most likely to drive people to vote against him by far.

      I would worry about Haley or Christie beating Biden before Trump. The only x factor is that Biden or Trump or both of them could croak in the next year.

      • normalexit@lemmy.world
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        1 year ago

        My concern is for much more apathy this time around. Between the economy, his age, and his one sided handling of the complex Palestine Israel tragedy, I’m really dreading the outcome already.

        I’ll vote for Biden again, especially against Trump, but he will never be exciting for me. If Trump continues to lay low during Republican events and doesn’t get convicted of some felonies, I could definitely see a scenario where Biden doesn’t get the votes and we all stand around mouth agape asking how it happened again.

      • Mirshe@lemmy.world
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        1 year ago

        I’d worry more about Desantis. He might have the charisma of used bubblegum, but there’s an awful lot of people who like what’s he’s selling.

    • SCB@lemmy.world
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      1 year ago

      He beat an elderly, uninspiring, career politician

      He has not ever done this.

      In fact, since his 2016 fluke, his brand has been toxic and his candidates have consistently lost (as has he)

        • SCB@lemmy.world
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          1 year ago

          She was not a “career politician” if you want that word to have any meaning. She was a civilian until like '98.

          She also wasn’t elderly or uninspiring.

          • deft@ttrpg.network
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            1 year ago

            she was a but uninspiring tbh that’s why she lost nobody wanted to pokemon go to the polls for her

            • SCB@lemmy.world
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              1 year ago

              Maybe among the young and disconnected. The reason she lost in reality is that she was painted as a “corrupt politician” and tied to the Benghazi nothingburger while her opponent ran on populist anti-politician rhetoric

              The masses are dumb and fell for it.

          • 20hzservers@lemmy.world
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            1 year ago

            The revolving door is a thing she was married to President…hmm what was his name I’m forgetting it, maybe it will come to me. Oh that’s right Bill! That’s his name! To say she’s not a career politician after being in or around politics her entire adult life is down right disingenuous. She represents the dem establishment there’s no question of that, but I’m sure you will enlighten me as to how I’m wrong. 🙄

            • SCB@lemmy.world
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              1 year ago

              It’s less that you’re personally wrong and more that your entire belief system here was built by Republican strategists and you are too uninformed to recognize it.

              • deft@ttrpg.network
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                1 year ago

                Why are you being this way lol?

                I was there for the election too. I remember what people said and felt. That absolutely was not Republican strategists.

                Republicans framed her as corrupt sure but she was genuinely uninspiring and represented the establishment. The public has distrust for her and Trump represented something new, he wasn’t the white bread Christian candidate the Republicans always pushed.

                She lost because candidates like Sanders and Stein were what people wanted, they had ideas to offer and she was a continuation of what people felt we had.

                • SCB@lemmy.world
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                  1 year ago

                  You’re explaining my own points back to me.

                  Sanders was not what people wanted or they’d have voted for him

                  • 20hzservers@lemmy.world
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                    1 year ago

                    I’m here to help and provide information or assistance on a wide range of topics. If something seems weird or if you have a specific question or topic you’d like to discuss, feel free to let me know, and I’ll do my best to assist you!

                    –ChatSCB

                  • deft@ttrpg.network
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                    1 year ago

                    Lol except you’re arguing with everything I said here in other comments but sure.

                    I literally said Hillary was uninspiring and you say “nuh-uh”

                    Now you say Sanders isn’t what people wanted but it absolutely was lol

              • 20hzservers@lemmy.world
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                1 year ago

                I voted for Hillary in the general I didn’t fall for anything, but I can still recognise her flaws and want something better than the two options we’re spoon fed every election.

                • SCB@lemmy.world
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                  Lol “I voted for her but I still believe everything the Republicans said about her”

                  That’s… I mean at least you’re useful.

                  • 20hzservers@lemmy.world
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                    1 year ago

                    I’m here to help and provide information or assistance on a wide range of topics. If something seems weird or if you have a specific question or topic you’d like to discuss, feel free to let me know, and I’ll do my best to assist you!

                    –ChatSCB