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I think scheduling a 15 minute interview and otherwise sticking to short scripted events is already a failure. They need to flood the zone with him being out and in front of cameras to dispel the debate appearance. That they’re not doing that is its own indicator.
It’s almost entirely a choice in Biden’s hands. The indicators are all bad, but he’s famously stubborn and his family, who’s suffered through the campaign, wants him to keep going. I don’t think his situation is recoverable. He’s had public calls to drop out and plenty of high profile Democrats giving hedging answers about his future, but I can’t predict how Biden will react. Baseline personality would suggest he stays, but his situation is really bad.