That’s not happening with Millennials. You can debate why, but the data is clear.
https://www.independent.co.uk/life-style/financial-times-millennials-conservatives-age-b2253902.html
This chart in particular is extremely telling.
That’s not happening with Millennials. You can debate why, but the data is clear.
https://www.independent.co.uk/life-style/financial-times-millennials-conservatives-age-b2253902.html
This chart in particular is extremely telling.
I did the math a few years ago because I couldn’t find anyone else who had published it. This is rough and IANAM (mathmagicman).
Every single day 8,000 boomers and above die, and 12,000 people turn 18 and those numbers are actually accelerating. If you use existing data to estimate conservative/liberal and likely voters within those groups it works out to a delta of 10,000 per day on a national scale. That’s 5,000 votes switching every single day. That might not seem like alot. Because it really isn’t. Out of 155 million votes cast, 10,000 is .006 percent. But here’s the thing. It’s cumulative. And it just doesn’t stop. It is relentless. it’s 300k a month, 3.6 million per year. And that pace is accelerating. Between 2020 and 2024 it’s a 15 million vote difference. By 2028 it’s 30 million.
It used to be that people age into conservatism. But that is not happening with millennials. The demographics are changing, and changing quickly. The most conservative group in the country is dying. While the most liberal group is rising.
We just have to hold on to democracy for a few more years. This will all be behind us. Another 10k today.
It was the cover up that really sunk her.
What you just posted is an abomination unto nuggan.
You never know what happens. It’s frankly terrifying.
I have several tumblers. They all get used for different things.
Agreed. Make him a martyr now and someone will take the mantle.
Actually laughed out loud.
I’ve never read any of his books. Top 3? Just the titles. I’ll go in blind.
The campaign hasn’t started yet. Right now, it’s a one sided conversation. And the polls are all based on people who answer unknown numbers and land lines. It’s a built in selection bias.
Every single election both large and small since 2020 has been heavily skewed to the left. I’m not saying don’t worry, but dont despair. And work on convincing your friends. That’s the single best thing you could possibly do.
What is a high floor low ceiling book?
I’ve actually got a few really cool things coming together in my life. Job is going well. Back on the bicycle as soon as it warms back up. Back in the gym now. Another “supplement” cycle upcoming. Just bought a house. The podcast went from 0 to several thousand downloads a month in 1 year. Starting a non profit that has a huge interest in donations already. May start twitch streaming for fun.
So I’ll claim it. 2024 will be my year.
If it makes you feel better, I don’t love you for your money. I don’t love you at all.
Deep Cut. I like it.
I completely agree. And although some polls indicate Trump strength, Biden hasn’t begun yet. The campaign hasn’t started. When it does, I really think it’s a clear Trump defeat.
And that doesn’t even take into account how polling landlines introduces a huge sampling bias. I have my cell phone set on do not disturb unless you’re in my contact list. Most tech savy people don’t answer unknown numbers.
They know it. The powers that be realize Trump is unelectable.
Yes. We will go back to fighting about policy rather than the existence of democracy.
The number is 10k per day.
I did the math a few years ago because I couldn’t find anyone else who had published it. This is rough and IANAM (mathmagicman).
Every single day 8,000 boomers and above die, and 12,000 people turn 18 and those numbers are actually accelerating. If you use existing data to estimate conservative/liberal and likely voters within those groups it works out to a delta of 10,000 per day on a national scale. That’s 5,000 votes switching every single day. That might not seem like alot. Because it really isn’t. Out of 155 million votes cast, 10,000 is .006 percent. But here’s the thing. It’s cumulative. And it just doesn’t stop. It is relentless. it’s 300k a month, 3.6 million per year. And that pace is accelerating. Between 2020 and 2024 it’s a 15 million vote difference. By 2028 it’s 30 million. It used to be that people age into conservatism. But that is not happening with millennials. The demographics are changing, and changing quickly. The most conservative group in the country is dying. While the most liberal group is rising.
We just have to hold on to democracy for a few more years. This will all be behind us. Another 10k today.
Not Donkey Doug! He’s my boy! I don’t think of him as my boy, I think of him as my boy! Yeah, but it’s more like… “That’s my son right there, son.” But not, like, “son-son”, but, like, “my boy”. But not, like…
The cyber truck is an ugly joke. But the stock will hold up until there is another stylish and popular alternative.
Do they move the cargo into smaller vehicles to get into the city? Or schedule the deliveries for low traffic times? Or just say fuck it and head into traffic?