whatever American consumers say about the state of the economy, they are spending as if their finances are in pretty good shape. Most recently, holiday sales appear to have been quite good.
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Americans aren’t acting as if they’re terrified about crime. As I’ve written before, major downtowns have seen weekend foot traffic — roughly speaking, the number of people visiting the city for fun rather than work — recover to prepandemic levels, which isn’t what you’d expect if Americans were fleeing violent urban hellscapes.
That one metric, divorced from cost of living, is meaningless. If you want to make a convincing argument that Americans are doing better, you have to show that rising wages matched or outpaced rising prices. It doesn’t matter if I make a dollar more than I did last year if everything costs two dollars more than it did last year.